Tyler Cowen on the Democratic Infighting and the Ugliness of Politics

Submitted by John on Sat, 2008-04-26 17:20.

Tyler Cowen has an utterly superb piece about his thoughts as a spectator of the "Democratic Spat" between Clinton and Obama...as well as the reality of hard knuckled, identity-politics political fights, what they really mean, how truly unpleasant it is and how little it has to do with policy differences

One thing we learn is just how unpleasant a politics of confrontation can be and that's no matter what your political point of view. Most voters don't define their views along the distinctions set down by the policy wonks. So if you wish to start a political conflict to get your way on the wonky issues, that means you also end up starting a war -- possibly unintended -- on identity politics and also power politics. Furthermore at least one of the sides in that war will care more about winning and seizing/keeping power than about policy per se. Over time that's the side most likely to get its way.

Hmm, I wonder if he's talking in general or about certain groups. My first inclination is to say he's subconsciously referring to Hillary but he may be speaking more broadly...maybe even about the general wing of the Democratic Party Leadership that she represents. Then again, I could be projecting and be totally wrong.

About the public and voters in general he says:

We also learn that the American public polarizes along undesirable fault lines, observes a fight and puts a pox on both houses, and in general becomes more cynical about politics. Think about this before pursuing polarization and quasi-class warfare.

He's not talking about shirking any participation, mind you, but rather warning you to be prepared because...well...let's be honest, if you really look at the essence of what is happening, it's pretty damn stupid and not the least bit petty and overmeasured.

From here, I'll just give the floor to Dr. Cowen. No sense in my interjecting my worthless comments:

Nonetheless constructivist attempts to remake America will, by political debate, be reshaped along traditional fault lines. That means your good idea -- be it libertarian, progressive, or whatever -- had better be pretty robust to mangling by the stupid, the emotional, the cynical, and the ill-informed. It also means your policy analysis had better start with a good understanding of the relative strengths and weaknesses of the United States and try to build in a sustainable direction with the weights and the angles favoring what you wish to accomplish. Tocqueville, Montesquieu and Madison look smarter and smarter all the time.

A while ago the progressives told us that we needed to fight a battle against the Republicans to reshape America. Now there is a prior battle within the Democratic Party itself, noting of course that the hedge fund managers are sending most of their donations that way. And even Paul Krugman and Ezra Klein can't agree on which candidate is the real progressive. How many steps further backward will be taken? We haven't even gotten to the point of trying to write progressive legislation or get it through Congress.

Resist the temptation to put the backward steps into the category of "the utopian should." Such a move runs as follows: "OK, we didn't do that, we should have done that. I never predicted we would do that. I just should we should have." (Libertarians I might add often commit a similar vice.) That response is non-falsifiable and so you can hold on to it all you want, but you'd get further by embracing the evolutionary yet non-Panglossian tradition in political thought. Similarly, libertarians should take more seriously the idea that Sweden should build on its current strengths as well.

I'll be frank: I'm not rooting for Hillary Clinton. But that's not for any instrumental reason or for that matter for any quasi-libertarian reason or not even for the many reasons you'll find outlined by Andrew Sullivan. It's for purely subjective and arbitrary reasons and I won't say more than that (though I could). Maybe I'd drop that dislike if she'd wave around a copy of Fredric (sp) Bastiat but in the meantime there you go. Note also that I am hardly the most biased person evaluating this political race and that I didn't feel this way a year ago.

The bottom line is this: real world political debate is not fundamentally a macro-cosm of the thought processes of a smart person, or of one smart person debating another. The politics of confrontation usually turn ugly.

As far as Hillary and Obama are concerned, well, I'll just say that I do favor Obama for some rather unconvincing reasons....meaning mostly unemotional. But I as I do watch people fighting over Obama and Hillary, I do ask myself...every time...is the difference and the implications of the election of either one really worth all the bickering? I really don't think it's worth all the grief. In the end, they sign/veto bills and propose agendas...though they do have a heavier hand in foreign policy. When you keep that in the back of your mind, all the predictable divisions along racial and demographic lines and the intensity thereof seem rather unwarranted.

Hillary v Obama

#6331 On Sun, 2008 04 27 05:09 ka1igu1a said,

Hillary v Obama essentially exposes the division in the Dem party between the highly educated, the burgeoning creative class and the working class. There is a bitter group identity clash between older white woman and african americans that is a result of this historic matchup, but other than that, you can pretty much predict voting preference entirely by age and education.

I will say that Clinton really never intended to be stuck championing the working class democratic voter demographic. She has been running a general election campaign strategy from the first day she was elected Senator. She never saw Obama coming and got out-flanked by him in terms of appeal to the ideological wing of the Dem party. The Clinton strategy has always been triangulation. It's effective in a general election but is vulnerable in a contested primary. They never intended to run their triangulation strategy in the primary, rather the primary was predicated on the "inevitability strategy." The one thing to remember is that Bill Clinton ran against an extremely weak field in the democratic primary in 1992. Clinton tactics executed against fellow democrats in a hotly contested primary is killing their legacy. I've talked to african-american democrats that I know and they hate the Clintons worse now than George Bush. If Obama wins, then likely this breach can be healed. But if she wins, I think the Dems will have a serious problems here.